Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.128022 0.142343 0.157001 0.173085 0.190200 0.207830 0.227327
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.111701 0.131876 0.153288 0.177572 0.204220 0.232447 0.264484
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.097871 0.121897 0.148219 0.178915 0.213456 0.250864 0.294186
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.085950 0.112566 0.142593 0.178494 0.219786 0.265358 0.319024
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.077012 0.105668 0.138868 0.179451 0.227021 0.280368 0.344074
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068518 0.098455 0.134056 0.178497 0.231516 0.291848 0.364807
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063520 0.095026 0.133340 0.182021 0.240947 0.308800 0.391682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057789 0.090161 0.130446 0.182547 0.246526 0.321054 0.412974
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.052501 0.085429 0.127345 0.182494 0.251145 0.331985 0.432587
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047296 0.080387 0.123499 0.181202 0.254002 0.340629 0.449368
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.043703 0.077268 0.121913 0.182568 0.259980 0.352922 0.470435
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041644 0.076141 0.122829 0.187050 0.269787 0.369840 0.497080
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037891 0.072388 0.120136 0.186852 0.273822 0.379935 0.515849
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036017 0.071275 0.120951 0.191214 0.283636 0.397169 0.543371
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033291 0.068655 0.119515 0.192453 0.289371 0.409327 0.564722
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030269 0.065328 0.116888 0.191930 0.292714 0.418436 0.582305
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027940 0.062923 0.115438 0.192895 0.297916 0.429836 0.602713
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025272 0.059730 0.112658 0.191877 0.300396 0.437730 0.618738
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024041 0.058875 0.113278 0.195560 0.309096 0.453526 0.644651
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.022129 0.056671 0.111744 0.196107 0.313539 0.463861 0.663732
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020230 0.054321 0.109859 0.196050 0.317097 0.473021 0.681329
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.018204 0.051543 0.107158 0.194695 0.318803 0.479733 0.695807
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016915 0.050052 0.106410 0.196125 0.324280 0.491327 0.716493